CategoryStatistics

R number for UK has fallen to between 1 and 1.2

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The R number for the UK has fallen to between 1 and 1.2, the closest it’s been to 1 since early September.

It comes as the Office for National Statistics says the number of people infected with coronavirus is slowing down.

Data up to 6 November, the day after England’s second lockdown began, shows infections falling in the north west but rising in the south and Midlands.

In Northern Ireland, infection rates were levelling off, the ONS says.

But in Wales rising infection levels were still continuing.

And it’s too early to say if they were stabilising a week ago in Scotland.

Although growth may be slowing in some parts of the country, the government’s scientific advisers say “significant levels of healthcare demand and mortality will persist until R is reduced to and remains well below 1 for an extended period of time”.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54930836HELP US SPREAD GOOD NEWS!

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COVID infection rate in England and Wales appears to be slowing down – ONS

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The rate of coronavirus infections across England and Wales appears to be slowing down, new data suggests.

An estimated 618,700 people had coronavirus in community settings in England between October 25 and 31 – equivalent to around one in 90 people, or 1.13% of the population, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said.

It represents a jump from 568,100 people who were estimated to have COVID-19 in the period 17 to 23 October.

But while the number of infections has increased in recent weeks, “the rate of increase is less steep compared with previous weeks”, the ONS said.

In its latest update on Friday, the ONS said new infections in England had stabilised at around 50,000 a day, suggesting a levelling off in a recent steep rise in cases.

Sky News economic editor Ed Conway said it was “good news”, adding: “Still early days (the modelling has given us some false hope before) but this is perhaps the most promising sign yet of a slowdown in new infections.”

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-618700-people-had-covid-19-in-england-last-week-ons-says-12125334HELP US SPREAD GOOD NEWS!

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UK – Growth in Covid cases ‘may be levelling off’

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There is more evidence suggesting the growth in coronavirus cases could be levelling off in England and Wales.

Data from three different analyses show new infections may be rising more slowly than in previous weeks – but it’s still too early to confirm.

It comes after a large, up-to-date study found growth in cases could be slowing down in England.

More restrictions have come into effect in parts of England and remain in place in some areas of Wales.

An Office for National Statistics (ONS) survey estimates there were 8,400 new cases per day in England in the week to 24 September – slightly down on the previous week’s estimate of 9,600 daily cases.

This would equate to around one in 500 people now having the virus.

“There is some limited evidence that the incidence rate may be levelling off, following steep increases during August and early September,” the ONS says.

Scientists behind the Covid Symptoms Study app said their data also suggests the number of new Covid cases in the UK has “flattened” in the last four days.

They estimate there were nearly 21,000 new cases per day on average over the two weeks up to 28 September, with numbers highest in the north of England and in people under 30.

Tim Spector, professor of genetic epidemiology at King’s College London and founder of the app, said many more younger people being infected “may explain why the pressures on the NHS are less”.

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UK announces 1 hospital death today, the lowest number since the pandemic began

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The UK today (14th September) announced only 1 death in a hospital setting.  This is the lowest number since the pandemic began.

In all settings the total number of deaths for today was 9.https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

screenshot 2020 09 14 at 21 23 00 orig

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‘The kids have been fine.’ Only 1.4% of children and teens with COVID hospitalized: stats

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Early data suggests children are much less likely than adults to develop severe cases of COVID-19.

Statistics from the Public Health Agency of Canada reveal only 1.4 per cent of 10,467 infected kids and teens ended up in hospital with the disease, compared to 13.5 per cent of 84,979 cases involving all ages.

That amounted to 149 patients younger than 20 who were hospitalized between April 1 and Aug. 26, 2020, including 29 sent to intensive care. There’s been at least one death in the under-20 set linked to complications from the novel coronavirus, a 19-year-old in Quebec who died in August. However there have been no reported COVID-related deaths in children.

The numbers are included in a joint study still underway by the Canadian Paediatric Surveillance Program that may ease parent fears about the risks of sending kids back to school, says principal investigator Dr. Fatima Kakkar.

“Really, the kids have been fine,” says Kakkar, pediatric infectious diseases specialist at CHU Sainte-Justine in Montreal.

“We’ve been open two weeks in Quebec and there are cases in kids, but we’re not seeing a jump at all in hospitalizations.”

Preliminary data from the program, a joint effort by PHAC and the Canadian Paediatric Society, focuses on a slightly younger cohort under 18.

https://www.cp24.com/news/the-kids-have-been-fine-only-1-4-of-children-and-teens-with-covid-hospitalized-stats-1.5101496HELP US SPREAD GOOD NEWS!

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Weekly coronavirus deaths in England and Wales drop to lowest number since mid-March

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Weekly coronavirus deaths have dropped to the lowest number in England and Wales since mid-March, new statistics suggest.

Data from the Office for National Statistics shows a total of 101 deaths registered in the week ending August 28 mentioned Covid-19 on the death certificate.

This is down from 138 deaths in the previous week.

It is also the lowest number since the week ending March 13, when five deaths involving Covid-19 were registered.

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/england-wales-weekly-coronavirus-deaths-drop-a4542371.htmlHELP US SPREAD GOOD NEWS!

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Coronavirus case numbers ‘remain unchanged’ in England

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The level of coronavirus among the community in England remains “unchanged” for the week to 25 August, the Office for National Statistics suggests.

Its latest survey of people in households estimates there were around 2,000 new cases of coronavirus per day.

This suggests that, despite outbreaks in some local areas, overall case numbers remain stable.

The ONS figures give one of the most accurate pictures of infections levels.

They are based on more than 151,000 swab tests collected from people at home, whether they have symptoms or not.

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UK – ‘There is no second wave – we’re just testing more,’ Oxford coronavirus expert says

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The rising number of coronavirus cases in the UK is down to more tests being carried out and does not point to a second wave, an expert on medicine has said.

Medical experts have previously predicted that the UK will see a second wave of the virus in winter, a forecast echoed by World Health Organization (WHO) Europe director Hans Kluge last week.

However, Professor Carl Heneghan of the University of Oxford believes that while a “comprehensive system of national test and trace” has led to an uptick of confirmed COVID-19 cases across the UK, that does not mean the disease is on the rise.

Instead, Heneghan said “new mild cases” are not infectious, and are simply being picked up by sensitive tests, providing positive results.

These virus particles already been dealt with “efficiently” by immune systems of those who have contracted COVID-19, Heneghan said.

He told MailOnline: “There is currently no second wave. What we are seeing is a sharp rise in the number of healthy people who are carrying the virus, but exhibiting no symptoms.

“Almost all of them are young. They are being spotted because – finally – a comprehensive system of national test and trace is in place.”

He added: “The government urgently needs to send out a clear, concise message that the risk from COVID-19 is currently low.”

Heneghan said the fear that people with coronavirus but no symptoms are spreading it to others “is not borne out by the experiences of the past six months”.

Newly released data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that weekly death registrations involving COVID-19 in England and Wales fell to 138 in the week ending 21 August – their lowest level since before lockdown.

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Preschoolers are mask-licking germ bombs — yet few catch the coronavirus, data show

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The infection starts with a sniffle. Next comes a barking cough. Soon, there’s a fever, maybe vomiting and diarrhea, possibly an ear infection or tonsillitis or pink eye.

These are common symptoms in preschool, where viral outbreaks are as ubiquitous as finger paints and apple juice. In a typical year, an otherwise healthy preschooler will bring home 12 to 18 upper respiratory infections — at least six to eight colds, two cases of croup and, more often than not, a bout of the flu, among others.

But 2020 is not a typical year, and SARS-CoV-2 — the technical term for the novel coronavirus — is no day-care germ. Now, with hundreds of large centers reopening across California, many families are asking: Is preschool safe?

Though scientists can still only guess at why, a growing body of evidence suggests preschoolers are uniquely resilient to the novel coronavirus. Recent studies from the U.S., U.K., Singapore and Australia, among others, suggest they are far less likely to contract and spread the illness than older children, and dramatically less likely to get sick from it than children even slightly older or younger.

Children 18 and under make up about 0.01% of patients hospitalized with the virus, and 0.0005% of associated mortalities, data show. About one and a half times as many children died of the 2018-2019 flu, though that flu killed 80% fewer people overall.

Those statistics are even more striking because unlike infants and older children, hundreds of thousands of preschoolers have been in their classrooms since March. In California alone, 33,773 preschools and day cares are open — almost 80% of the pre-pandemic total — yet state data show that only about 450 students have tested positive for the virus in the past six months. Even when caregivers and parents are counted, the overwhelming majority of preschools and day-care centers have not reported a single case.

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-08-28/few-preschoolers-catch-coronavirus-dataHELP US SPREAD GOOD NEWS!

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Coronavirus cases continue to level off in England – ONS

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Cases of coronavirus are still levelling off in England, according to data from swab tests of thousands of people in random households.

Modelling by the Office for National Statistics estimates there are 2,200 new infections per day.

Following a low point in June in the percentage of people testing positive for the virus, there was a small increase in July.

This is staying stable for the week ending 20 August, the ONS says.

Their figures are based on tests on people whether they have symptoms or not, giving one of the most accurate pictures of whether new infections are increasing.

Patients in hospitals, care homes or other institutional settings are not included in this data.

This study is one of a number aiming to provide information on coronavirus within the UK.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-53949080