Interesting London analysis from research associate who successfully tracked and predicted data for Gauteng, South Africa


1 of 4:

2 January 2022 – #Omicron update for London, UK.

I have added a conservative projection for PCR+ cases by specimen date. The actual numbers (orange) is likely to increase as new data comes in.

In both scenarios, London has peaked already.



2 of 4:

Total Omicron hospital bed projections for London, UK remain unchanged.

Hospital beds are likely to peak between 32-47 beds/100k population compared to 23/100k for Gauteng, SA.

The Jan ’21 peak was 88/100k.

(London population used – 9 million).


3 of 4:

Ventilated bed projections for London have been revised downwards.

Ventilated beds are likely to peak between 0.4-1.7 beds/100k population compared to 0.8/100k for Gauteng, SA.

The Jan ’21 peak was 13/100k.

4 of 4:

While there is uncertainty around the peak level of ventilated beds (40-154 beds), the level is an order of magnitude lower compared to January 2021.


Originally tweeted by pieterstreicher (@pieterstreicher) on January 2, 2022.

Hey 👋 I created JustGiveMePositiveNews to provide some hope to everyone during these often gloomy times.  Please don’t feel as though you have to but if you wanted to buy me a coffee to support the work I put in that would be great. 

I very much appreciate you visiting the site.