Public-health advisers suggest Ontario has begun to flatten the COVID-19 curve

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Ontario is slowing the growth of COVID-19, the provincial government’s key public-health advisers said Thursday, releasing new projections suggesting the province is, for now, on track to avoid overwhelming its hospitals.

In a briefing for media on Thursday, Adalsteinn (Steini) Brown, dean of the Dalla Lana School of Public Health at the University of Toronto, said Ontario is now seeing “much slower growth” and appears to be on a similar trajectory as the U.S. state of Michigan – rather than sharing the fate of the Australian state of Victoria, which was prompted to impose extremely strict lockdown measures as cases skyrocketed.

If current trends hold, Dr. Brown said, Ontario can expect a “steady state” of 800 to 1,200 cases a day. “Although cases are continuing to grow, that growth has slowed and we are starting to see a more gentle curve there.”

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