Since the beginning of November the infection rate in Wales has been the definition of up and down.
At the start of the month Wales saw almost a fortnight of falling cases followed by just over a week of increasing cases. However on Monday the infection rate fell again for the first time in over a week with a further fall on Tuesday.
The latest seven-day infection rate across Wales, based on the cases for every 100,000 people for the seven days up to November 18, now stands at 511.1 – a drop from the 521 reported on Monday.
Though cases had been rising for over a week epidemiologists still felt that Wales was trending down even before the drop of the last few days. If you look over a longer period the trend is still going down or is at least stable.
Speaking to WalesOnline last week Professor Michael Gravenor, one of the epidemiologists from Swansea University who model the data for the Welsh Government, said: “I don’t think we can say the cases are rising at the moment. The general trend is still flat or a little downwards.”